Penafiel vs Feirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
Penafiel
Feirense
November 2, 2026 at 19:00 · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Won
Penafiel vs Feirense prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Segunda Liga match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.22), 85% confidence. Final score: 1-0 (0-0). The tip won.
Penafiel 1-0 Feirense: Match Report
Penafiel beat Feirense 1-0 at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril in the Portugal Segunda Liga on Monday. It was goalless at half-time.
João Pinto opened the scoring for Penafiel on 54 minutes.
Penafiel had 54% of the ball and 10 shots (5 on target) to Feirense's 6 (1).
Referee Joao Afonso showed 8 yellow cards.
Our tip, Penafiel or draw (1X), won as Penafiel won.
Goals & cards
- 9' Jair Monteiro Feirense · Yellow Card
- 28' Antonio Leal Mateos Feirense · Yellow Card
- 29' Max Svensson Penafiel · Yellow Card
- 45+2' Iano Simão Penafiel · Yellow Card
- 48' Jaime Sánchez Penafiel · Yellow Card
- 54' João Pinto Penafiel
- 61' Claudio Silva Penafiel · Yellow Card
- 68' Diogo Mendes Feirense · Yellow Card
- 78' Tiago Castro Feirense · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Penafiel hosted Feirense in the Portugal Segunda Liga (matchday 9) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 WAT at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril in Penafiel. Joao Afonso was the referee.
Penafiel are 4th in the table with 16 points from 8 games (5-1-2), while Feirense sit 18th on 2 points. Penafiel have a 14-point advantage. At home Penafiel have won 2 of 4; Feirense have won 0 of 4 on the road.
Penafiel have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-W), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Feirense have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-L-D), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Penafiel have won 1, Feirense 5, with 0 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Feirense 1-0 Penafiel.
Penafiel average 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3. Feirense average 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: J. Monteiro leads Feirense's scoring with 1 goal.
Line-ups: Penafiel lined up in a 3-4-3, Feirense in a 5-4-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Penafiel the favourites: Penafiel 1.85, draw 3.50, Feirense 3.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.10 and under at 1.70. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction was Penafiel or draw (1X). The model gives Penafiel or a draw a 90% chance, Penafiel have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 4th, 14 places above Feirense.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Season stats
| Penafiel | Feirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 1 / 2 | 0 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (2.3) | 2 (0.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 8 (1.0) | 10 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 2.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 0 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | — |
| Usual formation | 3-4-3 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- J. Monteiro 1 goal · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Miguel Oliveira, Jaime Sánchez, Adrián Pica, Cláudio Silva, Douglas Borel, João Pinto, Pedro Sá, Iano Imbene, J. Fuentes, Max Svensson, Ricardo Schutte
Coach: José Manuel Aira
Diego Altube, João Oliveira, Antonio Leal, Pedro Pinto, João Queirós, Diego Moreno, Pedro Henrique, Diogo Mendes, Luisinho, Henrique Pereira, J. Monteiro
Coach: Rui Ferreira
Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 21:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.71 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Penafiel win | 62.3% |
| Draw | 23.0% |
| Feirense win | 14.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 85.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 37.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76.6% |
| Both teams to score | 42.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 18:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Penafiel or draw (1X) — The model gives Penafiel or a draw a 90% chance, Penafiel have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 4th, 14 places above Feirense.
Form (last 5)
Penafiel
WWWLW
2.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Feirense
LLLLD
0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Penafiel wins 0 draws 5 Feirense wins last 6 meetings
- Feirense1 - 0Penafiel Segunda Liga
- Penafiel1 - 2Feirense Segunda Liga
- Penafiel1 - 2Feirense Segunda Liga
- Feirense3 - 0Penafiel Segunda Liga
- Penafiel2 - 1Feirense Segunda Liga
- Feirense2 - 0Penafiel Segunda Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 13:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
