Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Portugal Segunda Liga
Feirense
Lusitânia Lourosa
November 8, 2026 at 12:00 · Estádio Marcolino de Castro
Won
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Segunda Liga match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 12:00 at Estádio Marcolino de Castro. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 86% confidence. Final score: 1-0 (1-0). The tip won.
Feirense 1-0 Lusitânia Lourosa: Match Report
Feirense beat Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 at Estádio Marcolino de Castro in the Portugal Segunda Liga on Sunday. Feirense led 1-0 at half-time.
Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva opened the scoring for Feirense on 5 minutes, set up by Henrique Pereira.
Lusitânia Lourosa had 60% of the ball, while Feirense had 8 shots (2 on target) to Lusitânia Lourosa's 17 (2).
Referee Jose Rodrigues showed 8 yellow cards.
Our tip, Under 3.5 Goals, won with 1 goal in the game.
Goals & cards
- 5' Pedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva Feirense · assist Henrique Pereira
- 15' João Queirós Feirense · Yellow Card
- 19' Arsénio Nunes Lusitânia Lourosa · Yellow Card
- 22' Bruno Faria Lusitânia Lourosa · Yellow Card
- 22' Mohamed Diaby Feirense · Yellow Card
- 28' Dylan João Raymond Collard Lusitânia Lourosa · Yellow Card
- 69' Antonio Leal Mateos Feirense · Yellow Card
- 84' Luis Rocha Lusitânia Lourosa · Yellow Card
- 90+5' Micael correia Lusitânia Lourosa · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Feirense hosted Lusitânia Lourosa in the Portugal Segunda Liga (matchday 10) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 WAT at Estádio Marcolino de Castro in Santa Maria da Feira. Jose Rodrigues was the referee.
Feirense are 18th in the table with 2 points from 9 games (0-2-7), while Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd on 19 points. Lusitânia Lourosa have a 17-point advantage. At home Feirense have won 0 of 4; Lusitânia Lourosa have won 3 of 4 on the road.
Feirense have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Lusitânia Lourosa have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-D-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 4 meetings Feirense have won 1, Lusitânia Lourosa 3, with 0 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Feirense.
Feirense average 0.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Lusitânia Lourosa average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: J. Monteiro leads Feirense's scoring with 1 goal; Mika Borges leads Lusitânia Lourosa's scoring with 1 goal.
Line-ups: Feirense lined up in a 4-3-3, Lusitânia Lourosa in a 4-3-3.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Lusitânia Lourosa the favourites: Feirense 2.80, draw 3.10, Lusitânia Lourosa 2.45 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction was Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.0 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 19 |
| 18 | Feirense | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 2 |
Season stats
| Feirense | Lusitânia Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 0 / 2 / 7 | 5 / 4 / 0 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 2 (0.2) | 15 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 11 (1.2) | 8 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 0 | 3 |
| Biggest win | — | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- J. Monteiro 1 goal · 0 assists
- Mika Borges 1 goal · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Diego Altube, João Oliveira, Pedro Pinto, Diego Moreno, João Queirós, Tiago Castro, Diogo Mendes, M. Diaby, Pedro Henrique, J. Monteiro, Henrique Pereira
Coach: Rui Ferreira
Brian Araújo, Ricardinho, D. Collard, Bruno Faria, F. Machado, Fabinho, Diogo Paulo, Arsénio, Micael correia, João Santos, Paulité
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 14:14. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.75 – 1.22 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Feirense win | 22.8% |
| Draw | 29.9% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa win | 47.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 52.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 77.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86.1% |
| Both teams to score | 37.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 8 Nov 2026, 11:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.0 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Feirense
LLLDL
0.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Lusitânia Lourosa
WWDDD
1.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Feirense wins 0 draws 3 Lusitânia Lourosa wins last 4 meetings
- Lusitânia Lourosa1 - 0Feirense Segunda Liga
- Feirense1 - 2Lusitânia Lourosa Segunda Liga
- Feirense3 - 0Lusitânia Lourosa Segunda Liga
- Lusitânia Lourosa1 - 0Feirense Segunda Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 08:16. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
