Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
November 1, 2026 at 22:30 · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
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Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe prediction and betting tip for this Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 22:30 at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.22), 75% confidence.
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe Preview
Newells Old Boys host Union Santa Fe in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 15) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 WAT at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario. Daniel Zamora is the referee.
Newells Old Boys are 6th in the table with 21 points from 14 games (5-6-3), while Union Santa Fe sit 10th on 17 points. Newells Old Boys have a 4-point advantage. At home Newells Old Boys have won 4 of 7; Union Santa Fe have won 1 of 7 on the road.
Newells Old Boys have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-W-D), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Union Santa Fe have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Newells Old Boys have won 2, Union Santa Fe 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys.
Newells Old Boys average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Union Santa Fe average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: C. Tarragona leads Union Santa Fe's scoring with 15 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Newells Old Boys the favourites: Newells Old Boys 2.00, draw 3.30, Union Santa Fe 4.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25 and under at 1.62. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 1.9 goals a game.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
Season stats
| Newells Old Boys | Union Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 30 | 32 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 12 / 10 | 11 / 8 / 13 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 28 (0.9) | 47 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 37 (1.2) | 46 (1.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 11 | 9 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- C. Tarragona 15 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 13:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.01 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys win | 47.9% |
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Union Santa Fe win | 25.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 74.1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 52.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76.1% |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 1.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Newells Old Boys
WDLWD
0.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
Union Santa Fe
LLLDW
1.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Newells Old Boys wins 2 draws 2 Union Santa Fe wins last 6 meetings
- Union Santa Fe2 - 3Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina
- Newells Old Boys0 - 1Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina
- Union Santa Fe1 - 1Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina
- Union Santa Fe2 - 0Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina
- Union Santa Fe1 - 3Newells Old Boys Copa de la Liga Profesional
- Newells Old Boys1 - 1Union Santa Fe Copa de la Liga Profesional
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 07:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
