Mallorca vs Cadiz
Spain Segunda División
Mallorca
Cadiz
November 2, 2026 at 21:00 · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
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Mallorca vs Cadiz prediction and betting tip for this Spain Segunda División match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 21:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.12), 88% confidence.
Mallorca vs Cadiz Preview
Mallorca host Cadiz in the Spain Segunda División (matchday 12) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 WAT at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in Parma.
Mallorca are 7th in the table with 19 points from 11 games (5-4-2), while Cadiz sit 19th on 10 points. Mallorca have a 9-point advantage. At home Mallorca have won 4 of 5; Cadiz have won 0 of 4 on the road.
Mallorca have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-D-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Cadiz have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-W-L-L-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Mallorca have won 2, Cadiz 1, with 3 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2024, finished Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca.
Mallorca average 1.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Cadiz average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Fuentes leads Mallorca's scoring with 6 goals and 1 assist; Antonio Cordero leads Cadiz's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Mallorca the favourites: Mallorca 1.53, draw 4.10, Cadiz 6.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Mallorca or draw (1X). The model gives Mallorca or a draw a 90% chance, Mallorca have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 12 places above Cadiz.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
Season stats
| Mallorca | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 4 / 2 | 2 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 13 (1.2) | 14 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 6 (0.5) | 14 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Fuentes 6 goals · 1 assist
- Antonio Cordero 4 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 07:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.75 – 0.66 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 85/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 63.5% | 61.4% | 1.53 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 22.8% | 22.9% | 4.10 | -6.4% |
| Cadiz win | 13.6% | 15.7% | 6.00 | -18.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 86.4% | 84.3% | 1.12 | -3.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 36.5% | 38.6% | 2.38 | -13.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.3% | 73.2% | 1.28 | -11.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.2% | 48.7% | 1.95 | -15.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56.8% | 51.3% | 1.85 | +5.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77.8% | 72.3% | 1.30 | +1.1% |
| Both teams to score | 39.9% | 46.4% | 2.00 | -20.2% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Mallorca or draw (1X) — The model gives Mallorca or a draw a 90% chance, Mallorca have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 7th, 12 places above Cadiz.
Form (last 5)
Mallorca
LDWDD
1.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Cadiz
DWLLW
1.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Mallorca wins 3 draws 1 Cadiz wins last 6 meetings
- Cadiz1 - 1Mallorca La Liga
- Mallorca1 - 1Cadiz La Liga
- Mallorca1 - 0Cadiz La Liga
- Cadiz2 - 0Mallorca La Liga
- Mallorca2 - 1Cadiz La Liga
- Cadiz1 - 1Mallorca La Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
