Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce
Poland Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
November 2, 2026 at 18:00 · Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
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Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce prediction and betting tip for this Poland Ekstraklasa match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 18:00 at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.30), 83% confidence.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce Preview
Zaglebie Lubin host Korona Kielce in the Poland Ekstraklasa (matchday 13) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 WAT at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin. Piotr Lasyk is the referee.
Zaglebie Lubin are 8th in the table with 19 points from 12 games (5-4-3), while Korona Kielce sit 10th on 18 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Zaglebie Lubin have won 4 of 6; Korona Kielce have won 3 of 6 on the road.
Zaglebie Lubin have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-L-W-D), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Korona Kielce have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Zaglebie Lubin have won 2, Korona Kielce 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Korona Kielce 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin.
Zaglebie Lubin average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Korona Kielce average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: M. Stępiński leads Korona Kielce's scoring with 6 goals.
Bookmakers make Zaglebie Lubin the favourites: Zaglebie Lubin 2.50, draw 3.20, Korona Kielce 2.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 1.75, no 2.00.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 3.3 goals a game.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
Season stats
| Zaglebie Lubin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 4 / 3 | 5 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 15 (1.3) | 14 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 15 (1.3) | 18 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 3-2 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- M. Stępiński 6 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 07:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.26 – 0.84 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin win | 46.2% | 36.5% | 2.50 | +15.5% |
| Draw | 29.1% | 28.5% | 3.20 | -6.8% |
| Korona Kielce win | 24.7% | 35.1% | 2.60 | -35.8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 75.3% | 64.9% | 1.44 | +8.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 53.8% | 63.5% | 1.44 | -22.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.8% | 73.2% | 1.28 | -20.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.8% | 48.7% | 1.95 | -32.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.2% | 51.3% | 1.85 | +20.5% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84.0% | 72.3% | 1.30 | +9.2% |
| Both teams to score | 40.5% | 53.3% | 1.75 | -29.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 3.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Zaglebie Lubin
WLLWD
1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Korona Kielce
LWLLW
1.0 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Zaglebie Lubin wins 2 draws 2 Korona Kielce wins last 6 meetings
- Korona Kielce1 - 2Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
- Zaglebie Lubin1 - 1Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
- Zaglebie Lubin1 - 1Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
- Korona Kielce2 - 0Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
- Zaglebie Lubin1 - 0Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
- Korona Kielce2 - 0Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 06:19. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
