Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
November 1, 2026 at 16:30
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction and betting tip, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 16:30. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.17), 74% confidence.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV Preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV in the Germany Bundesliga (matchday 8) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 WAT at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt. Florian Exner is the referee.
Eintracht Frankfurt are 15th in the table with 8 points from 7 games (2-2-3), while Hamburger SV sit 13th on 9 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Eintracht Frankfurt have won 1 of 3; Hamburger SV have won 1 of 4 on the road.
Eintracht Frankfurt have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Hamburger SV have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3, Hamburger SV 1, with 2 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Hamburger SV average 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
Eintracht Frankfurt will be without J. Ngankam (hamstring injury). Hamburger SV will be without N. Capaldo (muscle injury), B. Nadir (muscle injury), Y. Poulsen (hip injury), N. Remberg (knee injury), F. Vieira (thigh injury) and M. Vuskovic (doping), and S. Bornauw (face injury) is doubtful.
Players to watch: Y. Ebnoutalib leads Eintracht Frankfurt's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Eintracht Frankfurt the favourites: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.53, draw 4.75, Hamburger SV 5.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.75. Both teams to score: yes 1.50, no 2.50.
Our prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt or draw (1X). The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt or a draw a 90% chance, bookmakers make Eintracht Frankfurt favourites at 1.53 and Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Team news
- Out J. Ngankam Hamstring Injury
- Out N. Capaldo Muscle Injury
- Out B. Nadir Muscle Injury
- Out Y. Poulsen Hip Injury
- Out N. Remberg Knee Injury
- Out F. Vieira Thigh Injury
- Out M. Vuskovic Doping
- Doubtful S. Bornauw Face Injury
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
Season stats
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 0 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 10 (1.4) | 6 (0.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 17 (2.4) | 16 (2.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- Y. Ebnoutalib 5 goals · 1 assist
- J. Burkardt 3 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 11:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.22 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 51.9% |
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Hamburger SV win | 25.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 74.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63.2% |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Eintracht Frankfurt or draw (1X) — The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt or a draw a 90% chance, bookmakers make Eintracht Frankfurt favourites at 1.53 and Eintracht Frankfurt have won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Eintracht Frankfurt wins 2 draws 1 Hamburger SV wins last 6 meetings
- Hamburger SV1 - 3Eintracht Frankfurt DFB Pokal
- Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 2Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV1 - 1Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
- Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 0Hamburger SV Bundesliga
- Hamburger SV1 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
- Eintracht Frankfurt0 - 0Hamburger SV Bundesliga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 05:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).