Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
November 1, 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol prediction and betting tip, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 20:00. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.20), 82% confidence.
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Preview
Athletic Club host Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the Spain La Liga (matchday 11) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 WAT at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. Alejandro Hernandez is the referee.
Athletic Club are 7th in the table with 12 points from 9 games (3-3-3), while Real Sociedad de Fútbol sit 5th on 19 points. Real Sociedad de Fútbol have a 7-point advantage. At home Athletic Club have won 2 of 5; Real Sociedad de Fútbol have won 3 of 5 on the road.
Athletic Club have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-D-L-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Real Sociedad de Fútbol have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-W-W), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Athletic Club have won 1, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3, with 2 draws and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in October 2026, finished Real Sociedad 0-1 Athletic Club.
Athletic Club average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Real Sociedad de Fútbol average 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
Athletic Club will be without U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury) and I. Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring injury). Real Sociedad de Fútbol will be without L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury) and A. Zakharyan (ankle injury).
Bookmakers make Athletic Club the favourites: Athletic Club 2.10, draw 3.60, Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3.40 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 3.3 goals a game.
Team news
- Out U. Egiluz Knee Injury
- Out G. Guruzeta Knee Injury
- Out I. Ruiz de Galarreta Hamstring Injury
- Out L. Beitia Ankle Injury
- Out A. Odriozola Knee Injury
- Out A. Zakharyan Ankle Injury
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
Season stats
| Athletic Club | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 3 / 3 | 6 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 12 (1.3) | 19 (1.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 9 (1.0) | 18 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 11:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.40 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Athletic Club win | 43.6% |
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol win | 32.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 67.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 56.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63.4% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 3.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Athletic Club
DDDLW
1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Real Sociedad
LWWWW
2.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Athletic Club wins 2 draws 3 Real Sociedad wins last 6 meetings
- Real Sociedad0 - 1Athletic Club Friendlies Clubs
- Real Sociedad1 - 0Athletic Club Copa del Rey
- Athletic Club0 - 1Real Sociedad Copa del Rey
- Athletic Club1 - 1Real Sociedad La Liga
- Real Sociedad3 - 2Athletic Club La Liga
- Real Sociedad0 - 0Athletic Club La Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 05:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
