Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
England Championship
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
November 4, 2026 at 20:45 · Racecourse Ground
Upcoming
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off November 4, 2026 at 20:45 at Racecourse Ground. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.20), 83% confidence.
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Preview
Wrexham host Middlesbrough in the England Championship (matchday 14) on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Racecourse Ground in Wrexham. Oliver Langford is the referee.
Wrexham are 18th in the table with 14 points from 13 games (3-5-5), while Middlesbrough sit 1st on 28 points. Middlesbrough have a 14-point advantage. At home Wrexham have won 2 of 6; Middlesbrough have won 3 of 6 on the road.
Wrexham have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-L-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Middlesbrough have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-W), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 3 meetings Wrexham have won 0, Middlesbrough 1, with 2 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in August 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1-0 Wrexham.
Wrexham average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Middlesbrough average 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Wrexham will be without N. Broadhead (thigh injury), L. Cacace (calf injury) and J. Windass (ankle injury), and S. Revan (hamstring injury) is doubtful. Middlesbrough will be without A. Jones (calf injury), and R. Pukstas (injury) is doubtful.
Players to watch: K. Moore leads Wrexham's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist; W. Lankshear leads Middlesbrough's scoring with 13 goals.
Bookmakers make Middlesbrough the favourites: Wrexham 4.20, draw 3.90, Middlesbrough 1.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 2.3 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Team news
- Out N. Broadhead Thigh Injury
- Out L. Cacace Calf Injury
- Out J. Windass Ankle Injury
- Doubtful S. Revan Hamstring Injury
- Out A. Jones Calf Injury
- Doubtful R. Pukstas Injury
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
Season stats
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 5 / 5 | 8 / 4 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 15 (1.2) | 30 (2.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 19 (1.5) | 17 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 2.4 / 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- K. Moore 5 goals · 1 assist
- W. Lankshear 13 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 13:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.99 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 23.2% | 22.3% | 4.20 | -2.6% |
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.1% | 3.90 | -15.7% |
| Middlesbrough win | 55.2% | 53.6% | 1.75 | -3.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 44.8% | 46.4% | 2.00 | -10.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 76.8% | 77.7% | 1.22 | -6.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% | 78.9% | 1.20 | -0.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% | 58.7% | 1.62 | +1.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37.5% | 41.3% | 2.30 | -13.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59.8% | 63.6% | 1.50 | -10.3% |
| Both teams to score | 61.1% | 57.6% | 1.62 | -1.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 3 Nov 2026, 18:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 3 meetings averaged 2.3 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Wrexham
DLWLL
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Middlesbrough
WWDWW
2.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Wrexham wins 2 draws 1 Middlesbrough wins last 3 meetings
- Middlesbrough1 - 0Wrexham League Cup
- Wrexham2 - 2Middlesbrough Championship
- Middlesbrough1 - 1Wrexham Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 13:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
