Portsmouth vs Swansea
England Championship
Portsmouth
Swansea
November 3, 2026 at 20:45 · Fratton Park
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Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off November 3, 2026 at 20:45 at Fratton Park. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.30), 79% confidence.
Portsmouth vs Swansea Preview
Portsmouth host Swansea in the England Championship (matchday 14) on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Fratton Park in Portsmouth. Matthew Corlett is the referee.
Portsmouth are 11th in the table with 19 points from 13 games (5-4-4), while Swansea sit 2nd on 26 points. Swansea have a 7-point advantage. At home Portsmouth have won 3 of 6; Swansea have won 4 of 6 on the road.
Portsmouth have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-D), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Swansea have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 4 meetings Portsmouth have won 1, Swansea 2, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea.
Portsmouth average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Swansea average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Portsmouth will be without K. Anderson (overload), B. Arthur (back injury), C. Bishop (knee injury), L. Brooke-Smith (ankle injury), C. Ogilvie (knee injury) and J. Swift (knee injury). Swansea will be without C. Burgess (achilles tendon injury), Ronald (hamstring injury) and M. K. Yeo (injury).
Players to watch: A. Idah leads Swansea's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Swansea the favourites: Portsmouth 2.62, draw 3.30, Swansea 2.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.00 and under at 1.80. Both teams to score: yes 1.73, no 2.00.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 2.5 goals a game.
Team news
- Out K. Anderson Overload
- Out B. Arthur Back Injury
- Out C. Bishop Knee Injury
- Out L. Brooke-Smith Ankle Injury
- Out C. Ogilvie Knee Injury
- Out J. Swift Knee Injury
- Out C. Burgess Achilles Tendon Injury
- Out Ronald Hamstring Injury
- Out M. K. Yeo Injury
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
Season stats
| Portsmouth | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 4 / 4 | 8 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 16 (1.2) | 20 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 15 (1.2) | 13 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- A. Idah 4 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 06:23. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.17 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 36.0% | 35.7% | 2.62 | -5.7% |
| Draw | 28.1% | 28.3% | 3.30 | -7.2% |
| Swansea win | 35.9% | 36.0% | 2.60 | -6.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 64.1% | 64.0% | 1.50 | -3.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 64.0% | 64.3% | 1.44 | -7.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.7% | 72.9% | 1.30 | -12.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.3% | 47.4% | 2.00 | -17.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.7% | 52.6% | 1.80 | +5.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.3% | 72.9% | 1.30 | +3.0% |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% | 53.6% | 1.73 | -18.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 35%, draw 35%, away 30%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 10:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 2.5 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Portsmouth
WWDWD
1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Swansea
WWLLW
1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Portsmouth wins 1 draws 2 Swansea wins last 4 meetings
- Portsmouth1 - 2Swansea Championship
- Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth Championship
- Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea Championship
- Swansea2 - 2Portsmouth Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 06:22. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
