Sunderland vs Chelsea
England Premier League
Sunderland
Chelsea
November 8, 2026 at 15:00 · Stadium of Light
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Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction and betting tip for this England Premier League match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 15:00 at Stadium of Light. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 76% confidence.
Sunderland vs Chelsea Preview
Sunderland host Chelsea in the England Premier League (matchday 10) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 WAT at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Jarred Gillett is the referee.
Sunderland are 20th in the table with 5 points from 9 games (1-2-6), while Chelsea sit 4th on 16 points. Chelsea have a 11-point advantage. At home Sunderland have won 1 of 4; Chelsea have won 2 of 4 on the road.
Sunderland have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Chelsea have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-L-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Sunderland have won 3, Chelsea 3, with 0 draws and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea.
Sunderland average 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Chelsea average 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
Players to watch: B. Brobbey leads Sunderland's scoring with 3 goals; João Pedro leads Chelsea's scoring with 5 goals and 3 assists.
Line-ups are in: Sunderland line up in a 4-2-3-1, Chelsea in a 4-3-2-1.
Bookmakers make Chelsea the favourites: Sunderland 3.50, draw 3.60, Chelsea 2.05 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 2.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Season stats
| Sunderland | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 2 / 6 | 5 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 7 (0.8) | 19 (2.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 17 (1.9) | 15 (1.7) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 1-0 | 5-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- B. Brobbey 3 goals · 0 assists
- João Pedro 5 goals · 3 assists
- M. Rogers 5 goals · 1 assist
- Pedro Neto 3 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Starting line-ups
R. Roefs, T. Meunier, N. Mukiele, L. O'Nien, Reinildo, G. Xhaka, N. Sadiki, T. Hume, E. Le Fée, C. Talbi, B. Brobbey
Coach: R. Le Bris
M. Penders, M. Palestra, W. Fofana, L. Colwill, Pep Chavarría, M. Caicedo, R. Lavia, J. Henderson, C. Palmer, M. Rogers, Pedro Neto
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 15:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.52 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 89/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 30.8% |
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Chelsea win | 43.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 56.1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 69.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 8 Nov 2026, 14:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Sunderland
LLLDL
0.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Chelsea
LWWLW
1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Sunderland wins 0 draws 3 Chelsea wins last 6 meetings
- Sunderland2 - 1Chelsea Premier League
- Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland Premier League
- Chelsea5 - 1Sunderland Premier League
- Sunderland0 - 1Chelsea Premier League
- Sunderland3 - 2Chelsea Premier League
- Chelsea3 - 1Sunderland Premier League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 08:16. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
