Arsenal vs Hull City
England Premier League
Arsenal
Hull City
November 7, 2026 at 16:00 · Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal vs Hull City prediction and betting tip for this England Premier League match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 16:00 at Emirates Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.03), 91% confidence.
Arsenal vs Hull City Preview
Arsenal host Hull City in the England Premier League (matchday 10) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Emirates Stadium in London. Farai Hallam is the referee.
Arsenal are 1st in the table with 24 points from 9 games (8-0-1), while Hull City sit 11th on 11 points. Arsenal have a 13-point advantage. At home Arsenal have won 4 of 4; Hull City have won 1 of 4 on the road.
Arsenal have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-W-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Hull City have three draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-L-D-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Arsenal have won 5, Hull City 0, with 1 draw and an average of 2.8 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2017, finished Arsenal 2-0 Hull City.
Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Hull City average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 5-4-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: K. Havertz leads Arsenal's scoring with 3 goals; M. Belloumi leads Hull City's scoring with 3 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Arsenal the favourites: Arsenal 1.17, draw 7.50, Hull City 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.53 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 2.38, no 1.53.
Our prediction: Arsenal or draw (1X). The model gives Arsenal or a draw a 90% chance, Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 10 places above Hull City.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
Season stats
| Arsenal | Hull City | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 0 / 1 | 2 / 5 / 2 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 14 (1.6) | 11 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 5 (0.6) | 10 (1.1) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.3 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-4-1 |
Top scorers
- K. Havertz 3 goals · 0 assists
- M. Belloumi 3 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:16. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.89 – 0.52 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 73/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Arsenal win | 70.4% |
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Hull City win | 9.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 90.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Both teams to score | 34.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 14:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Arsenal or draw (1X) — The model gives Arsenal or a draw a 90% chance, Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 10 places above Hull City.
Form (last 5)
Arsenal
LWWWW
1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Hull City
LDLDD
1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
5 Arsenal wins 1 draws 0 Hull City wins last 6 meetings
- Arsenal2 - 0Hull City Premier League
- Hull City1 - 4Arsenal Premier League
- Hull City0 - 4Arsenal FA Cup
- Arsenal0 - 0Hull City FA Cup
- Hull City1 - 3Arsenal Premier League
- Arsenal2 - 0Hull City FA Cup
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 04:17. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
