Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
England Premier League
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
November 7, 2026 at 18:30 · City Ground
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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction and betting tip for this England Premier League match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 18:30 at City Ground. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2) (odds 1.18), 77% confidence.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Preview
Nottingham Forest host Manchester City in the England Premier League (matchday 10) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 18:30 WAT at City Ground in Nottingham. Samuel Barrott is the referee.
Nottingham Forest are 19th in the table with 6 points from 9 games (1-3-5), while Manchester City sit 2nd on 21 points. Manchester City have a 15-point advantage. At home Nottingham Forest have won 0 of 4; Manchester City have won 3 of 4 on the road.
Nottingham Forest have one draw and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Manchester City have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-L), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Nottingham Forest have won 1, Manchester City 4, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest.
Nottingham Forest average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Manchester City average 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: E. Haaland leads Manchester City's scoring with 9 goals.
Bookmakers make Manchester City the favourites: Nottingham Forest 4.75, draw 3.90, Manchester City 1.73 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Manchester City or draw (X2). The model gives Manchester City or a draw a 90% chance, Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Nottingham Forest.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Season stats
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 3 / 5 | 7 / 0 / 2 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 6 (0.7) | 20 (2.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 12 (1.3) | 10 (1.1) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.0 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 7 |
| Biggest win | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- E. Haaland 9 goals · 0 assists
- R. Cherki 4 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:16. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.94 – 1.56 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 88/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest win | 22.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Manchester City win | 51.8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 48.2% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 77.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Both teams to score | 48.2% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Manchester City or draw (X2) — The model gives Manchester City or a draw a 90% chance, Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Nottingham Forest.
Form (last 5)
Nottingham Forest
LLLDL
0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Manchester City
WWWLL
2.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Nottingham Forest wins 1 draws 4 Manchester City wins last 6 meetings
- Manchester City2 - 2Nottingham Forest Premier League
- Nottingham Forest1 - 2Manchester City Premier League
- Nottingham Forest0 - 2Manchester City FA Cup
- Nottingham Forest1 - 0Manchester City Premier League
- Manchester City3 - 0Nottingham Forest Premier League
- Nottingham Forest0 - 2Manchester City Premier League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 09:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
