Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga
Sporting CP
Moreirense
November 7, 2026 at 21:30 · Estádio José Alvalade
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Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Primeira Liga match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 21:30 at Estádio José Alvalade. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.04), 92% confidence.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense Preview
Sporting CP host Moreirense in the Portugal Primeira Liga (matchday 11) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 WAT at Estádio José Alvalade in Lisbon. Joao Goncalves is the referee.
Sporting CP are 3rd in the table with 21 points from 10 games (6-3-1), while Moreirense sit 9th on 14 points. Sporting CP have a 7-point advantage. At home Sporting CP have won 3 of 5; Moreirense have won 2 of 5 on the road.
Sporting CP have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-L-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Moreirense have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-W-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Sporting CP have won 5, Moreirense 1, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP.
Sporting CP average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Moreirense average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: L. Suárez leads Sporting CP's scoring with 8 goals and 1 assist; N. John leads Moreirense's scoring with 3 goals.
Bookmakers make Sporting CP the favourites: Sporting CP 1.18, draw 7.50, Moreirense 13.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.70. Both teams to score: yes 2.10, no 1.67.
Our prediction: Sporting CP or draw (1X). The model gives Sporting CP or a draw a 90% chance, Sporting CP have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 6 places above Moreirense.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
Season stats
| Sporting CP | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 23 (2.3) | 13 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 11 (1.1) | 17 (1.7) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.2 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- L. Suárez 8 goals · 1 assist
- Flávio Gonçalves 3 goals · 1 assist
- N. John 3 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:16. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.72 – 0.77 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 87/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Sporting CP win | 78.4% |
| Draw | 13.7% |
| Moreirense win | 8.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 92.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 21.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54.1% |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 14:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Sporting CP or draw (1X) — The model gives Sporting CP or a draw a 90% chance, Sporting CP have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 3rd, 6 places above Moreirense.
Form (last 5)
Sporting CP
DDWLW
1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Moreirense
WDLWW
1.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
5 Sporting CP wins 0 draws 1 Moreirense wins last 6 meetings
- Moreirense0 - 3Sporting CP Primeira Liga
- Sporting CP3 - 0Moreirense Primeira Liga
- Sporting CP3 - 1Moreirense Primeira Liga
- Moreirense2 - 1Sporting CP Primeira Liga
- Moreirense0 - 2Sporting CP Primeira Liga
- Sporting CP3 - 0Moreirense Primeira Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:16. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
