GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC
Portugal Primeira Liga
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
November 2, 2026 at 21:15 · Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
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GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Primeira Liga match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 21:15 at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.22), 85% confidence.
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC Preview
GIL Vicente host Vitória SC in the Portugal Primeira Liga (matchday 10) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 21:15 WAT at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. Helder Carvalho is the referee.
GIL Vicente are 7th in the table with 14 points from 9 games (4-2-3), while Vitória SC sit 13th on 8 points. GIL Vicente have a 6-point advantage. At home GIL Vicente have won 2 of 5; Vitória SC have won 0 of 4 on the road.
GIL Vicente have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Vitória SC have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings GIL Vicente have won 1, Vitória SC 4, with 1 draw and an average of 1.8 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished GIL Vicente 0-1 Vitória SC.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Héctor Hernández leads GIL Vicente's scoring with 3 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Vitória SC the favourites: GIL Vicente 2.88, draw 3.25, Vitória SC 2.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.20 and under at 1.65. Both teams to score: yes 1.95, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. Their last 6 meetings averaged 1.8 goals, recent form points to 2.3 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.22.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Top scorers
- Héctor Hernández 3 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 06:21. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.29 – 0.74 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente win | 49.6% | 32.9% | 2.88 | +43.0% |
| Draw | 29.1% | 29.2% | 3.25 | -5.6% |
| Vitória SC win | 21.3% | 37.9% | 2.50 | -46.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 78.7% | 62.1% | 1.50 | +18.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 50.4% | 67.1% | 1.40 | -29.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.0% | 68.8% | 1.36 | -18.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.9% | 42.9% | 2.20 | -27.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67.1% | 57.1% | 1.65 | +10.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85.3% | 76.6% | 1.22 | +4.1% |
| Both teams to score | 37.7% | 48.0% | 1.95 | -26.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — Their last 6 meetings averaged 1.8 goals, recent form points to 2.3 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.22.
Form (last 5)
GIL Vicente
LDWWL
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Vitória SC
DLDLW
1.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 GIL Vicente wins 1 draws 4 Vitória SC wins last 6 meetings
- GIL Vicente0 - 1Vitória SC Primeira Liga
- Vitória SC0 - 0GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
- GIL Vicente0 - 1Vitória SC Primeira Liga
- Vitória SC4 - 0GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
- Vitória SC3 - 1GIL Vicente Taça de Portugal
- GIL Vicente1 - 0Vitória SC Primeira Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 06:19. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
