Como vs Venezia
Italy Serie A
Como
Venezia
November 1, 2026 at 12:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
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Como vs Venezia prediction and betting tip for this Italy Serie A match, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 12:30 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Our tip: Home Win (odds 1.33), 94% confidence.
Como vs Venezia Preview
Como host Venezia in the Italy Serie A (matchday 10) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 WAT at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como. Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi is the referee.
Como are 5th in the table with 20 points from 9 games (6-2-1), while Venezia sit 20th on 3 points. Como have a 17-point advantage. At home Como have won 2 of 3; Venezia have won 0 of 4 on the road.
Como have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Venezia have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Como have won 2, Venezia 2, with 2 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2025, finished Como 1-1 Venezia.
Como average 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Venezia average 0.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 3-5-2.
Como will be without J. Addai (muscle injury), T. Chalobah (injury), A. Diao (thigh injury), M. Kean (leg injury) and J. Rodriguez (injury). Venezia will be without A. Adorante (hernia), T. Correia (thigh injury), B. Franjic (shoulder injury) and M. Sverko (hip injury).
Players to watch: T. Douvikas leads Como's scoring with 5 goals.
Bookmakers make Como the favourites: Como 1.33, draw 5.75, Venezia 7.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.70, no 2.05.
Our prediction: Como to win (1). The model makes Como favourites at 45%, Como have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 5th, 15 places above Venezia.
Team news
- Out J. Addai Muscle Injury
- Out T. Chalobah Injury
- Out A. Diao Thigh Injury
- Out M. Kean Leg Injury
- Out J. Rodriguez Injury
- Out A. Adorante Hernia
- Out T. Correia Thigh Injury
- Out B. Franjic Shoulder Injury
- Out M. Sverko Hip Injury
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
Season stats
| Como | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 2 / 1 | 1 / 0 / 8 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 17 (1.9) | 6 (0.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 8 (0.9) | 19 (2.1) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-5-2 |
Top scorers
- T. Douvikas 5 goals · 0 assists
- N. Paz 3 goals · 3 assists
- M. Baturina 3 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 11:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.27 – 0.61 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 67/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Como win | 75.1% |
| Draw | 16.5% |
| Venezia win | 8.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 91.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 24.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67.3% |
| Both teams to score | 41.1% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Como to win (1) — The model makes Como favourites at 45%, Como have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 5th, 15 places above Venezia.
Form (last 5)
Como
LDWWW
1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Venezia
LLWLL
0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Como wins 2 draws 2 Venezia wins last 6 meetings
- Como1 - 1Venezia Serie A
- Venezia2 - 2Como Serie A
- Como2 - 1Venezia Serie B
- Venezia3 - 0Como Serie B
- Venezia3 - 2como Serie B
- como1 - 0Venezia Serie B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 00:37. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
