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RB Bragantino vs Santos

Brazil Serie A

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
VS
Santos Santos

November 3, 2026 at 00:00

Upcoming

Predicted Outcome Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence 81%

RB Bragantino vs Santos prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie A match, kicking off November 3, 2026 at 00:00. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.14), 81% confidence.

RB Bragantino 2-1 Santos: Match Report

RB Bragantino beat Santos 2-1 at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques in the Brazil Serie A on Tuesday. RB Bragantino led 2-1 at half-time.

An own goal by Rodinei put RB Bragantino ahead on 4 minutes. Coutinho levelled for Santos on 37 minutes, set up by Gabriel Barbosa. Wallace Yan won it for RB Bragantino on 41 minutes, set up by H. Mosquera.

Santos had 61% of the ball, while RB Bragantino had 13 shots (5 on target) to Santos's 16 (4). Expected goals finished RB Bragantino 0.95, Santos 1.08, a close game on chances.

Referee Edina Alves Batista showed 4 yellow cards.

Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.

Goals & cards

  • 4' Rodinei RB Bragantino · Own Goal
  • 20' Joao Alencar Santos · Yellow Card
  • 37' Coutinho Santos · assist Gabriel Barbosa
  • 41' Wallace Yan RB Bragantino · assist H. Mosquera
  • 45' Lucas Barbosa RB Bragantino · Yellow Card
  • 45+1' A. Barreal Santos · Yellow Card
  • 79' Luan Peres Santos · Yellow Card

Match stats

RB BragantinoSantos
39% 61% Possession
0.95 1.08 Expected goals (xG)
13 16 Shots
5 4 Shots on target
7 4 Corners
77% 87% Pass accuracy
3 4 Saves
14 4 Fouls
1 4 Offsides
1 3 Yellow cards

Before the match

RB Bragantino hosted Santos in the Brazil Serie A (matchday 34) on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 WAT at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques in Bragança Paulista. Edina Alves Batista was the referee.

RB Bragantino are 9th in the table with 44 points from 33 games (12-8-13), while Santos sit 8th on 47 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home RB Bragantino have won 8 of 16; Santos have won 6 of 16 on the road.

RB Bragantino have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-D-L-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Santos have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-D-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings RB Bragantino have won 1, Santos 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Santos 2-0 RB Bragantino.

RB Bragantino average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Santos average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

RB Bragantino will be without Davi Gomes (knee injury) and Rodriguinho (knee injury), and Eric Ramires (injury), Gustavo Marques (inactive) and A. Hurtado (muscle injury) are doubtful. Santos will be without G. Escobar (thigh injury), Gabriel Brazao (shoulder injury), Joao Schmidt (yellow cards), Lucas Verissimo (thigh injury), Neymar (suspended), Thaciano (muscle injury), Vinicius Lira (knee injury) and Willian Arao (muscle injury), and Arthur Melo (muscle injury) is doubtful.

Players to watch: Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos's scoring with 15 goals and 3 assists.

Line-ups: RB Bragantino lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Santos in a 4-2-3-1.

Before kick-off, bookmakers made RB Bragantino the favourites: RB Bragantino 1.95, draw 3.90, Santos 3.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.50, no 2.50.

Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 2.7 goals a game.

Team news

RB Bragantino
  • Out Davi Gomes Knee Injury
  • Out Rodriguinho Knee Injury
  • Doubtful Eric Ramires Injury
  • Doubtful Gustavo Marques Inactive
  • Doubtful A. Hurtado Muscle Injury
Santos
  • Out G. Escobar Thigh Injury
  • Out Gabriel Brazao Shoulder Injury
  • Out Joao Schmidt Yellow Cards
  • Out Lucas Verissimo Thigh Injury
  • Out Neymar Suspended
  • Out Thaciano Muscle Injury
  • Out Vinicius Lira Knee Injury
  • Out Willian Arao Muscle Injury
  • Doubtful Arthur Melo Muscle Injury

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
8Santos33121110+247
9RB Bragantino3312813+444

Season stats

RB BragantinoSantos
Played3333
Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 8 / 1312 / 11 / 10
Goals scored (per game)42 (1.3)49 (1.5)
Goals conceded (per game)38 (1.2)47 (1.4)
Scored at home / away (per game)1.7 / 0.91.4 / 1.6
Clean sheets97
Failed to score84
Longest winning run35
Biggest win3-03-1
Usual formation4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Top scorers

RB Bragantino

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Santos
  • Gabriel Barbosa 15 goals · 3 assists
  • Neymar 8 goals · 3 assists

Odds (Bet365)

RB Bragantino1.95 Draw3.90 Santos3.60 1X1.28 121.25 X21.80 Over 1.51.14 Under 1.55.50 Over 3.52.20 Under 3.51.67 Over 2.51.50 Under 2.52.50 BTTS Yes1.50 BTTS No2.50

Odds before kick-off.

Starting line-ups

RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)

Tiago Volpi, Ryan Augusto, Gustavo Marques, Guzmán Rodríguez, Juninho Capixaba, Eric Ramires, Fabinho, Lucas Barbosa, Wallace Yan, Henry Mosquera, Eduardo Sasha

Santos (4-2-3-1)

Diogenes, Rodinei, João Alencar, Luan Peres, Álvaro Barreal, Gustavinho, Christian Oliva, Gabriel Bontempo, Philippe Coutinho, Everton Cebolinha, Gabriel Barbosa

Data: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 02:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Model probabilities

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.40 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 82/100

Market Model
RB Bragantino win 44.4%
Draw 23.6%
Santos win 32.0%
Home or draw (1X) 68.0%
Away or draw (X2) 55.6%
Over 1.5 goals 81.4%
Over 2.5 goals 59.6%
Under 2.5 goals 40.4%
Under 3.5 goals 62.8%
Both teams to score 61.4%

For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.

Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 23:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

RB Bragantino 10% Draw 45% Santos 45%

Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 2.7 goals a game.

Form (last 5)

RB Bragantino DWDLW 1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Santos DLWDD 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per game

Team comparison

RB BragantinoSantos
57% 43% Form
60% 40% Attack
50% 50% Defence
54% 46% Poisson
38% 62% Head-to-head
36% 64% Goals
49% 51% Overall

Head-to-head

1 RB Bragantino wins 2 draws 3 Santos wins last 6 meetings

  • Santos2 - 0RB Bragantino Serie A
  • Santos0 - 0RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
  • RB Bragantino2 - 2Santos Serie A
  • Santos1 - 2RB Bragantino Serie A
  • Santos2 - 0RB Bragantino Paulista - A1
  • Santos3 - 1RB Bragantino Paulista - A1

Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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