Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
Mladost Lucani
Radnik Surdulica
November 2, 2026 at 18:00 · Stadion Mladost
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Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica prediction and betting tip for this Serbia Super Liga match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 18:00 at Stadion Mladost. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 86% confidence.
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica Preview
Mladost Lucani host Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia Super Liga (matchday 14) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 WAT at Stadion Mladost in Lucani.
Mladost Lucani are 7th in the table with 18 points from 13 games (4-6-3), while Radnik Surdulica sit 8th on 17 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Mladost Lucani have won 2 of 6; Radnik Surdulica have won 0 of 6 on the road.
Mladost Lucani have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-L-D), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Radnik Surdulica have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-D-L-W-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Mladost Lucani have won 2, Radnik Surdulica 0, with 4 draws and an average of 1.2 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Radnik Surdulica 1-1 Mladost Lucani.
Mladost Lucani average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 5-4-1. Radnik Surdulica average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Vasil Tasovski leads Mladost Lucani's scoring with 4 goals; V. Bogdanović leads Radnik Surdulica's scoring with 6 goals.
Bookmakers make Radnik Surdulica the favourites: Mladost Lucani 2.70, draw 3.20, Radnik Surdulica 2.62 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.2 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
Season stats
| Mladost Lucani | Radnik Surdulica | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 6 / 3 | 4 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 12 (0.9) | 17 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 18 (1.4) | 17 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 2.0 / 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 5-4-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Vasil Tasovski 4 goals · 0 assists
- João 3 goals · 1 assist
- V. Bogdanović 6 goals · 0 assists
- M. Novaković 3 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 07:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.12 – 0.89 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Lucani win | 40.8% | 34.8% | 2.70 | +10.1% |
| Draw | 30.4% | 29.4% | 3.20 | -2.7% |
| Radnik Surdulica win | 28.8% | 35.9% | 2.62 | -24.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 71.2% | 64.1% | 1.44 | +2.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 59.2% | 65.2% | 1.44 | -14.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59.9% | 68.8% | 1.36 | -18.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.8% | 43.7% | 2.15 | -29.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67.2% | 56.3% | 1.67 | +12.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85.4% | 75.0% | 1.25 | +6.7% |
| Both teams to score | 39.9% | 48.5% | 1.91 | -23.8% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.2 goals and recent form points to 3.1 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Mladost Lucani
LWDLD
0.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Radnik Surdulica
DDLWL
1.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Mladost Lucani wins 4 draws 0 Radnik Surdulica wins last 6 meetings
- Radnik Surdulica1 - 1Mladost Lucani Super Liga
- Radnik Surdulica0 - 0Mladost Lucani Super Liga
- Mladost Lucani1 - 0Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
- Radnik Surdulica1 - 1Mladost Lucani Super Liga
- Mladost Lucani0 - 0Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
- Mladost Lucani2 - 0Radnik Surdulica Super Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
