Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
November 6, 2026 at 23:15 · Libertadores de America
Upcoming
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction and betting tip for this Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 23:15 at Libertadores de America. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.17), 92% confidence.
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra Preview
Independiente host Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 23:15 WAT at Libertadores de America in Buenos Aires. Juan Pafundi is the referee.
Independiente are 8th in the table with 20 points from 15 games (5-5-5), while Deportivo Riestra sit 14th on 12 points. Independiente have a 8-point advantage. At home Independiente have won 1 of 7; Deportivo Riestra have won 0 of 7 on the road.
Independiente have three draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-D-L-D), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Deportivo Riestra have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 5 meetings Independiente have won 2, Deportivo Riestra 2, with 1 draw and an average of 1.6 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Independiente.
Independiente average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Deportivo Riestra average 0.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 20 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: G. Ávalos leads Independiente's scoring with 11 goals and 5 assists.
Bookmakers make Independiente the favourites: Independiente 1.62, draw 3.50, Deportivo Riestra 6.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.50 and under at 1.50. Both teams to score: yes 2.38, no 1.53.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.9 goals, their last 5 meetings averaged 1.6 goals and recent form points to 1.9 goals a game.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
Season stats
| Independiente | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 31 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 11 / 10 | 3 / 14 / 14 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 38 (1.2) | 15 (0.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 38 (1.2) | 29 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 20 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- G. Ávalos 11 goals · 5 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 07:19. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.03 – 0.55 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Independiente win | 46.6% |
| Draw | 34.1% |
| Deportivo Riestra win | 19.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 80.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 46.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 79.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 92.5% |
| Both teams to score | 27.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 12:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.9 goals, their last 5 meetings averaged 1.6 goals and recent form points to 1.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Independiente
LDDLD
0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Deportivo Riestra
DLDLL
0.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Independiente wins 1 draws 2 Deportivo Riestra wins last 5 meetings
- Deportivo Riestra2 - 0Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina
- Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina
- Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina
- Independiente3 - 1Deportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina
- Deportivo Riestra1 - 0Independiente Copa de la Liga Profesional
Statistics: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
