Aldosivi vs River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Aldosivi
River Plate
November 5, 2026 at 19:00 · Estadio Jose Maria Minella
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Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction and betting tip for this Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match, kicking off November 5, 2026 at 19:00 at Estadio Jose Maria Minella. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.28), 83% confidence.
Aldosivi vs River Plate Preview
Aldosivi host River Plate in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 WAT at Estadio Jose Maria Minella in Mar del Plata.
Aldosivi are 14th in the table with 11 points from 15 games (3-2-10), while River Plate sit 4th on 23 points. River Plate have a 12-point advantage. At home Aldosivi have won 3 of 7; River Plate have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Aldosivi have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-W-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. River Plate have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Aldosivi have won 1, River Plate 5, with 0 draws and an average of 3.5 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished River Plate 1-3 Aldosivi.
Aldosivi average 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 13 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. River Plate average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 13 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Vombergar leads Aldosivi's scoring with 7 goals; T. Galván leads River Plate's scoring with 7 goals and 4 assists.
Bookmakers make River Plate the favourites: Aldosivi 7.50, draw 3.75, River Plate 1.44 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.00 and under at 1.80. Both teams to score: yes 2.10, no 1.67.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, recent form points to 2.0 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.28.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 11 |
Season stats
| Aldosivi | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 31 | 35 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 10 / 18 | 19 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 22 (0.7) | 49 (1.4) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 43 (1.4) | 31 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 13 | 10 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 5 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- A. Vombergar 7 goals · 0 assists
- T. Galván 7 goals · 4 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 16:44. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.70 – 1.46 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi win | 17.9% | 12.2% | 7.50 | +33.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | 24.4% | 3.75 | +0.0% |
| River Plate win | 55.5% | 63.5% | 1.44 | -20.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 44.5% | 36.5% | 2.62 | +16.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 82.1% | 87.8% | 1.10 | -9.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.6% | 72.3% | 1.30 | -17.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.7% | 47.4% | 2.00 | -26.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63.3% | 52.6% | 1.80 | +14.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82.7% | 73.2% | 1.28 | +5.9% |
| Both teams to score | 38.6% | 44.3% | 2.10 | -18.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 0%, draw 50%, away 50%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:32, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, recent form points to 2.0 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.28.
Form (last 5)
Aldosivi
LLLWL
0.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
River Plate
WDWWL
1.2 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Aldosivi wins 0 draws 5 River Plate wins last 6 meetings
- River Plate1 - 3Aldosivi Copa Argentina
- River Plate3 - 1Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina
- Aldosivi0 - 3River Plate Liga Profesional Argentina
- River Plate2 - 0Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina
- River Plate4 - 1Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina
- Aldosivi1 - 2River Plate Liga Profesional Argentina
Statistics: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 16:43. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
