Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
Gimnasia L.P.
Belgrano Cordoba
November 5, 2026 at 23:15 · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
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Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba prediction and betting tip for this Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match, kicking off November 5, 2026 at 23:15 at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.30), 82% confidence.
Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba Preview
Gimnasia L.P. host Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 23:15 WAT at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo in La Plata.
Gimnasia L.P. are 3rd in the table with 28 points from 15 games (8-4-3), while Belgrano Cordoba sit 5th on 23 points. Gimnasia L.P. have a 5-point advantage. At home Gimnasia L.P. have won 4 of 7; Belgrano Cordoba have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Gimnasia L.P. have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Belgrano Cordoba have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Gimnasia L.P. have won 2, Belgrano Cordoba 3, with 1 draw and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P..
Gimnasia L.P. average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Belgrano Cordoba average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 16 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: M. Torres leads Gimnasia L.P.'s scoring with 10 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Gimnasia L.P. the favourites: Gimnasia L.P. 2.55, draw 3.40, Belgrano Cordoba 2.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.00 and under at 1.80. Both teams to score: yes 1.75, no 2.00.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
Season stats
| Gimnasia L.P. | Belgrano Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 33 | 35 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 17 / 6 / 10 | 17 / 10 / 8 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 43 (1.3) | 41 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 40 (1.2) | 29 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 10 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 6 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- M. Torres 10 goals · 2 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 16:44. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.01 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. win | 40.1% | 36.6% | 2.55 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | 27.5% | 3.40 | -1.6% |
| Belgrano Cordoba win | 30.9% | 35.9% | 2.60 | -19.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 69.1% | 64.1% | 1.50 | +3.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 59.9% | 63.4% | 1.50 | -10.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.6% | 72.3% | 1.30 | -16.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.8% | 47.4% | 2.00 | -24.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 52.6% | 1.80 | +11.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81.9% | 72.3% | 1.30 | +6.4% |
| Both teams to score | 44.3% | 53.3% | 1.75 | -22.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 4 Nov 2026, 20:32, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Gimnasia L.P.
DDWWW
1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Belgrano Cordoba
WWLLD
1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Gimnasia L.P. wins 1 draws 3 Belgrano Cordoba wins last 6 meetings
- Belgrano Cordoba0 - 1Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
- Belgrano Cordoba0 - 1Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
- Gimnasia L.P.0 - 2Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina
- Belgrano Cordoba2 - 0Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
- Belgrano Cordoba2 - 0Gimnasia L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina
- Gimnasia L.P.1 - 1Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina
Statistics: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 16:43. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
