FC Gomel vs Arsenal
Belarus Premier League
FC Gomel
Arsenal
November 6, 2026 at 16:00 · Central Stadion
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FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction and betting tip for this Belarus Premier League match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 16:00 at Central Stadion. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.11), 83% confidence.
FC Gomel vs Arsenal Preview
FC Gomel host Arsenal in the Belarus Premier League (matchday 28) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Central Stadion in Gomel.
FC Gomel are 7th in the table with 40 points from 27 games (11-7-9), while Arsenal sit 12th on 27 points. FC Gomel have a 13-point advantage. At home FC Gomel have won 6 of 13; Arsenal have won 3 of 13 on the road.
FC Gomel have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-L-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Arsenal have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-D-W), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Gomel have won 2, Arsenal 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in June 2026, finished Arsenal 1-1 FC Gomel.
FC Gomel average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Arsenal average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make FC Gomel the favourites: FC Gomel 1.60, draw 3.58, Arsenal 5.85 (Marathonbet). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.08 and under at 1.70. Both teams to score: yes 2.05, no 1.67.
Our prediction: FC Gomel or draw (1X). The model gives FC Gomel or a draw a 90% chance, Arsenal have lost 3 of their last 5 and FC Gomel sit 7th, 5 places above Arsenal.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Gomel | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +9 | 40 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 27 |
Season stats
| FC Gomel | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 27 | 27 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 7 / 9 | 6 / 9 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 38 (1.4) | 25 (0.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 29 (1.1) | 44 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 6-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-3-3 |
Odds (Marathonbet)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 14:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.73 – 0.81 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| FC Gomel win | 59.3% |
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Arsenal win | 17.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 82.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 40.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74.7% |
| Both teams to score | 45.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 14:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: FC Gomel or draw (1X) — The model gives FC Gomel or a draw a 90% chance, Arsenal have lost 3 of their last 5 and FC Gomel sit 7th, 5 places above Arsenal.
Form (last 5)
FC Gomel
WLDLL
1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Arsenal
LLLDW
0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 FC Gomel wins 2 draws 2 Arsenal wins last 6 meetings
- Arsenal1 - 1FC Gomel Premier League
- FC Gomel4 - 0Arsenal Friendlies Clubs
- Arsenal0 - 0FC Gomel Premier League
- FC Gomel0 - 2Arsenal Premier League
- Arsenal1 - 0FC Gomel Premier League
- FC Gomel5 - 0Arsenal Premier League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 12:14. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
