Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
November 3, 2026 at 21:30 · Santiago de las Atalayas
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Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 3, 2026 at 21:30 at Santiago de las Atalayas. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.30), 89% confidence.
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima Preview
Deportivo Pereira host Deportes Tolima in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 17) on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 WAT at Santiago de las Atalayas in Yopal.
Deportivo Pereira are 15th in the table with 17 points from 16 games (3-8-5), while Deportes Tolima sit 11th on 20 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Deportivo Pereira have won 2 of 8; Deportes Tolima have won 2 of 8 on the road.
Deportivo Pereira have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-D-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Deportes Tolima have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-D-L-L-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Deportivo Pereira have won 2, Deportes Tolima 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira.
Deportivo Pereira average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 17 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2. Deportes Tolima average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 12 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Parra leads Deportes Tolima's scoring with 9 goals and 4 assists.
Bookmakers make Deportes Tolima the favourites: Deportivo Pereira 7.00, draw 3.80, Deportes Tolima 1.53 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 1.6 goals a game.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
Season stats
| Deportivo Pereira | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 35 | 39 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 15 / 16 | 15 / 12 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 27 (0.8) | 49 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 51 (1.5) | 40 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 17 | 12 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 5-3-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- A. Parra 9 goals · 4 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 07:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.71 – 1.11 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira win | 23.2% |
| Draw | 31.7% |
| Deportes Tolima win | 45.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 54.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 76.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 88.8% |
| Both teams to score | 34.1% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 35%, draw 35%, away 30%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 10:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 1.6 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Deportivo Pereira
DDWDW
1.0 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
Deportes Tolima
DDLLL
0.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Deportivo Pereira wins 1 draws 3 Deportes Tolima wins last 6 meetings
- Deportes Tolima2 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportes Tolima1 - 0Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira0 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
- Deportivo Pereira1 - 0Deportes Tolima Primera A
- Deportes Tolima2 - 1Deportivo Pereira Primera A
- Deportes Tolima2 - 3Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 00:43. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
