Club Queretaro vs Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
November 15, 2026 at 00:00 · Estadio La Corregidora
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Club Queretaro vs Monterrey prediction and betting tip for this Mexico Liga MX match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio La Corregidora. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.17), 81% confidence.
Club Queretaro vs Monterrey Preview
Club Queretaro host Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 7) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 WAT at Estadio La Corregidora in Santiago Querétaro.
Club Queretaro are 12th in the table with 20 points from 15 games (6-2-7), while Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Club Queretaro have won 2 of 7; Monterrey have won 2 of 7 on the road.
Club Queretaro have five defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-L-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Monterrey have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-D-L), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Club Queretaro have won 0, Monterrey 4, with 2 draws and an average of 2.7 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Monterrey 4-0 Club Queretaro.
Club Queretaro average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Monterrey average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Ávila leads Club Queretaro's scoring with 6 goals; L. Ocampos leads Monterrey's scoring with 7 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make Monterrey the favourites: Club Queretaro 3.60, draw 3.70, Monterrey 2.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 3.7 goals a game.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
Season stats
| Club Queretaro | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 15 | 15 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 2 / 7 | 6 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.2) | 26 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 23 (1.5) | 25 (1.7) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 6-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- A. Ávila 6 goals · 0 assists
- L. Ocampos 7 goals · 3 assists
- H. Cuypers 6 goals · 1 assist
- D. Rossi 5 goals · 3 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:43. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.54 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 91/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro win | 36.9% | 26.5% | 3.60 | +33.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | 25.8% | 3.70 | -10.8% |
| Monterrey win | 38.9% | 47.7% | 2.00 | -22.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 61.1% | 52.3% | 1.80 | +9.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 63.1% | 73.5% | 1.28 | -19.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% | 81.0% | 1.17 | -5.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 59.0% | 1.60 | -6.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 41.0% | 2.30 | -4.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63.9% | 60.9% | 1.53 | -2.3% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% | 60.9% | 1.53 | -6.7% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:42, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 3.7 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Club Queretaro
LLLLL
0.6 scored · 3.0 conceded per game
Monterrey
WWLDL
1.8 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Club Queretaro wins 2 draws 4 Monterrey wins last 6 meetings
- Monterrey4 - 0Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Club Queretaro0 - 1Monterrey Liga MX
- Club Queretaro2 - 4Monterrey Liga MX
- Monterrey2 - 1Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Monterrey1 - 1Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Club Queretaro0 - 0Monterrey Liga MX
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
