Castellón vs Eibar
Spain Segunda División
Castellón
Eibar
November 6, 2026 at 20:30 · Estadio Municipal Castalia
Void
Castellón vs Eibar prediction and betting tip for this Spain Segunda División match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 20:30 at Estadio Municipal Castalia. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.17), 80% confidence.
Castellón vs Eibar Preview
Castellón host Eibar in the Spain Segunda División (matchday 13) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 WAT at Estadio Municipal Castalia in Castellon.
Castellón are 1st in the table with 27 points from 12 games (8-3-1), while Eibar sit 4th on 23 points. Castellón have a 4-point advantage. At home Castellón have won 3 of 5; Eibar have won 4 of 6 on the road.
Castellón have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-L-W-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Eibar have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-L-D), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 4 meetings Castellón have won 2, Eibar 1, with 1 draw and an average of 1.5 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Castellón 2-1 Eibar.
Castellón average 1.9 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Eibar average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: Israel Suero leads Castellón's scoring with 6 goals and 2 assists; Iván Gil leads Eibar's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Castellón the favourites: Castellón 1.62, draw 4.00, Eibar 5.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Castellón or draw (1X). The model gives Castellón or a draw a 100% chance, Castellón have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 3 places above Eibar.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
Season stats
| Castellón | Eibar | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 23 (1.9) | 21 (1.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 5 (0.4) | 14 (1.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 7 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Israel Suero 6 goals · 2 assists
- Ousmane Camara 4 goals · 1 assist
- Iván Gil 4 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 23:14. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.70 – 0.89 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Castellón win | 56.4% |
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Eibar win | 19.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 80.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 43.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73.7% |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 50%, draw 50%, away 0%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:29, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Castellón or draw (1X) — The model gives Castellón or a draw a 100% chance, Castellón have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 3 places above Eibar.
Form (last 5)
Castellón
DLWWD
1.8 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Eibar
WLDLD
1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Castellón wins 1 draws 1 Eibar wins last 4 meetings
- Castellón2 - 1Eibar Segunda División
- Eibar0 - 0Castellón Segunda División
- Castellón2 - 0Eibar Segunda División
- Eibar1 - 0Castellón Segunda División
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:16. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
