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AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos

Greece Super League 1

AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
VS
Levadiakos Levadiakos

November 8, 2026 at 16:00 · Allwyn Arena

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Predicted Outcome Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X)
Confidence 94%

AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos prediction and betting tip for this Greece Super League 1 match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 16:00 at Allwyn Arena. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.03), 94% confidence.

AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos Preview

AEK Athens FC host Levadiakos in the Greece Super League 1 (matchday 10) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Allwyn Arena in Nea Filadelfeia. Moschou Dimitrios is the referee.

AEK Athens FC are 4th in the table with 17 points from 8 games (5-2-1), while Levadiakos sit 11th on 6 points. AEK Athens FC have a 11-point advantage. At home AEK Athens FC have won 4 of 4; Levadiakos have won 0 of 4 on the road.

AEK Athens FC have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-L), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Levadiakos have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-D-D-W), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.

In their last 6 meetings AEK Athens FC have won 5, Levadiakos 0, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished AEK Athens FC 4-0 Levadiakos.

AEK Athens FC average 2.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Levadiakos average 0.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.

No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.

Players to watch: B. Varga leads AEK Athens FC's scoring with 5 goals.

Bookmakers make AEK Athens FC the favourites: AEK Athens FC 1.20, draw 6.00, Levadiakos 15.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 2.50, no 1.50.

Our prediction: AEK Athens FC or draw (1X). The model gives AEK Athens FC or a draw a 90% chance, AEK Athens FC have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 4th, 7 places above Levadiakos.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4AEK Athens FC8521+1617
11Levadiakos9135-86

Season stats

AEK Athens FCLevadiakos
Played89
Won / Drawn / Lost5 / 2 / 11 / 3 / 5
Goals scored (per game)21 (2.6)3 (0.3)
Goals conceded (per game)5 (0.6)11 (1.2)
Scored at home / away (per game)4.3 / 1.00.6 / 0.0
Clean sheets44
Failed to score18
Longest winning run30
Biggest win5-03-0
Usual formation4-4-24-2-3-1

Top scorers

AEK Athens FC
  • B. Varga 5 goals · 0 assists
  • L. Jović 4 goals · 0 assists
  • Zini 3 goals · 0 assists
Levadiakos

No player in the league's top scorers list.

Odds (Bet365)

AEK Athens FC1.20 Draw6.00 Levadiakos15.00 1X1.03 121.12 X24.33 Over 1.51.20 Under 1.54.33 Over 3.52.62 Under 3.51.44 Over 2.51.65 Under 2.52.20 BTTS Yes2.50 BTTS No1.50

Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.

Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Model probabilities

Expected goals 2.32 – 0.46 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 85/100

Market Model
AEK Athens FC win 79.3%
Draw 14.9%
Levadiakos win 5.8%
Home or draw (1X) 94.2%
Away or draw (X2) 20.7%
Over 1.5 goals 76.6%
Over 2.5 goals 52.6%
Under 2.5 goals 47.4%
Under 3.5 goals 69.6%
Both teams to score 33.5%

For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.

Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).

Match Analysis

API-Football win probability (for comparison)

AEK Athens FC 45% Draw 45% Levadiakos 10%

Our tip: AEK Athens FC or draw (1X) — The model gives AEK Athens FC or a draw a 90% chance, AEK Athens FC have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 4th, 7 places above Levadiakos.

Form (last 5)

AEK Athens FC DWWWL 2.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Levadiakos LLDDW 0.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per game

Team comparison

AEK Athens FCLevadiakos
67% 33% Form
79% 21% Attack
43% 57% Defence
100% 0% Poisson
93% 7% Head-to-head
92% 8% Goals
75% 25% Overall

Head-to-head

5 AEK Athens FC wins 1 draws 0 Levadiakos wins last 6 meetings

  • AEK Athens FC4 - 0Levadiakos Super League 1
  • Levadiakos0 - 1AEK Athens FC Super League 1
  • AEK Athens FC1 - 1Levadiakos Super League 1
  • Levadiakos0 - 3AEK Athens FC Super League 1
  • AEK Athens FC3 - 0Levadiakos Super League 1
  • Levadiakos0 - 2AEK Athens FC Super League 1

Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:15. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).

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