Vila Nova vs Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
Vila Nova
Criciuma
November 8, 2026 at 00:00 · Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga
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Vila Nova vs Criciuma prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie B match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.22), 87% confidence.
Vila Nova vs Criciuma Preview
Vila Nova host Criciuma in the Brazil Serie B (matchday 37) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 WAT at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga in Goiania. Bruno Arleu is the referee.
Vila Nova are 3rd in the table with 63 points from 36 games (18-9-9), while Criciuma sit 4th on 62 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Vila Nova have won 12 of 18; Criciuma have won 7 of 18 on the road.
Vila Nova have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-D-L-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Criciuma have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-W-L-W), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Vila Nova have won 1, Criciuma 3, with 2 draws and an average of 1.2 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Criciuma 2-0 Vila Nova.
Vila Nova average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 14 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Criciuma average 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 17 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Janderson leads Vila Nova's scoring with 10 goals and 8 assists.
Bookmakers make Vila Nova the favourites: Vila Nova 2.20, draw 3.10, Criciuma 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25 and under at 1.62. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.2 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | +14 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | +8 | 62 |
Season stats
| Vila Nova | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 36 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 18 / 9 / 9 | 18 / 8 / 10 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 52 (1.4) | 38 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 38 (1.1) | 30 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 14 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 9 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 6 |
| Biggest win | 6-0 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-2-1 |
Top scorers
- Janderson 10 goals · 8 assists
- André Luís 9 goals · 2 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:18. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.07 – 0.84 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Vila Nova win | 40.2% |
| Draw | 31.5% |
| Criciuma win | 28.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 71.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87.3% |
| Both teams to score | 37.3% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.2 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Vila Nova
DWDLD
1.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Criciuma
LWWLW
1.0 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Vila Nova wins 2 draws 3 Criciuma wins last 6 meetings
- Criciuma2 - 0Vila Nova Serie B
- Vila Nova1 - 1Criciuma Serie B
- Criciuma1 - 0Vila Nova Serie B
- Criciuma1 - 0Vila Nova Serie B
- Vila Nova0 - 0Criciuma Serie B
- Vila Nova1 - 0Criciuma Serie B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:18. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
