Saint Etienne vs Laval
France Ligue 2
Saint Etienne
Laval
November 7, 2026 at 20:00 · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
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Saint Etienne vs Laval prediction and betting tip for this France Ligue 2 match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 20:00 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.08), 90% confidence.
Saint Etienne vs Laval Preview
Saint Etienne host Laval in the France Ligue 2 (matchday 12) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 WAT at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in Saint Etienne. Karim Abed is the referee.
Saint Etienne are 1st in the table with 25 points from 11 games (8-1-2), while Laval sit 16th on 9 points. Saint Etienne have a 16-point advantage. At home Saint Etienne have won 5 of 5; Laval have won 0 of 5 on the road.
Saint Etienne have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-L), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Laval have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Saint Etienne have won 3, Laval 1, with 2 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Saint Etienne 2-1 Laval.
Saint Etienne average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Laval average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-1-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Boakye leads Saint Etienne's scoring with 6 goals and 3 assists; M. Houdayer leads Laval's scoring with 4 goals.
Bookmakers make Saint Etienne the favourites: Saint Etienne 1.36, draw 4.20, Laval 7.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.60 and under at 2.30. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.91.
Our prediction: Saint Etienne or draw (1X). The model gives Saint Etienne or a draw a 90% chance, Saint Etienne have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Laval.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 25 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
Season stats
| Saint Etienne | Laval | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 1 / 2 | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 23 (2.1) | 14 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 11 (1.0) | 21 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.6 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-1-2 |
Top scorers
- A. Boakye 6 goals · 3 assists
- I. Cardona 5 goals · 4 assists
- T. Ballo 5 goals · 2 assists
- M. Houdayer 4 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 06:18. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.37 – 0.76 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Saint Etienne win | 73.2% |
| Draw | 16.6% |
| Laval win | 10.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 89.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61.9% |
| Both teams to score | 48.2% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 12:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Saint Etienne or draw (1X) — The model gives Saint Etienne or a draw a 90% chance, Saint Etienne have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 1st, 15 places above Laval.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Saint Etienne wins 2 draws 1 Laval wins last 6 meetings
- Saint Etienne2 - 1Laval Ligue 2
- Laval3 - 3Saint Etienne Ligue 2
- Saint Etienne0 - 0Laval Ligue 2
- Laval0 - 1Saint Etienne Ligue 2
- Laval2 - 1Saint Etienne Ligue 2
- Saint Etienne1 - 0Laval Ligue 2
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 06:18. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).