Rotherham vs Crawley Town
England League Two
Rotherham
Crawley Town
November 14, 2026 at 16:00 · New York Stadium
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Rotherham vs Crawley Town prediction and betting tip for this England League Two match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 16:00 at New York Stadium. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 86% confidence.
Rotherham vs Crawley Town Preview
Rotherham host Crawley Town in the England League Two (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at New York Stadium in Rotherham.
Rotherham are 22nd in the table with 12 points from 14 games (2-6-6), while Crawley Town sit 24th on 9 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Rotherham have won 1 of 7; Crawley Town have won 2 of 6 on the road.
Rotherham have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-D-D-L), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Crawley Town have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-D-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Rotherham have won 1, Crawley Town 4, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2025, finished Rotherham 0-4 Crawley Town.
Rotherham average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Crawley Town average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: P. Mullin leads Rotherham's scoring with 8 goals.
Bookmakers make Rotherham the favourites: Rotherham 2.00, draw 3.50, Crawley Town 3.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.65 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.5 goals a game.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Season stats
| Rotherham | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 12 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 6 / 6 | 2 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.3) | 13 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 25 (1.8) | 21 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- P. Mullin 8 goals · 0 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:43. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.67 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 91/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 40.7% | 45.7% | 2.00 | -18.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | 26.1% | 3.50 | -21.2% |
| Crawley Town win | 36.8% | 28.1% | 3.25 | +19.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 63.2% | 71.9% | 1.33 | -16.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 59.3% | 54.3% | 1.80 | +6.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% | 79.2% | 1.18 | +1.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.5% | 57.1% | 1.65 | +9.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.5% | 42.9% | 2.20 | -26.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55.3% | 62.5% | 1.50 | -17.1% |
| Both teams to score | 67.1% | 58.9% | 1.57 | +5.4% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:43, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.5 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Rotherham
LLDDL
1.4 scored · 2.6 conceded per game
Crawley Town
DLLDW
1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Rotherham wins 1 draws 4 Crawley Town wins last 6 meetings
- Rotherham0 - 4Crawley Town League One
- Crawley Town1 - 0Rotherham League One
- Rotherham2 - 2Crawley Town League One
- Crawley Town1 - 2Rotherham League One
- Crawley Town3 - 0Rotherham League Two
- Rotherham1 - 2Crawley Town League Two
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:43. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
