Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
Raith Rovers
Dunfermline
November 6, 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming
Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline prediction and betting tip for this Scotland Championship match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 20:30. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 81% confidence.
Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Preview
Raith Rovers host Dunfermline in the Scotland Championship (matchday 14) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 WAT. C. Scott is the referee.
Raith Rovers are 2nd in the table with 24 points from 13 games (7-3-3), while Dunfermline sit 3rd on 24 points. The two sides are level on points. At home Raith Rovers have won 3 of 6; Dunfermline have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Raith Rovers have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-L-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Dunfermline have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Raith Rovers have won 2, Dunfermline 4, with 0 draws and an average of 2.2 goals per game. The most recent, in August 2026, finished Dunfermline 1-0 Raith Rovers.
Raith Rovers average 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Dunfermline average 1.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Dunfermline the favourites: Raith Rovers 2.70, draw 3.10, Dunfermline 2.35 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | Dunfermline | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
Season stats
| Raith Rovers | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 7 / 3 / 3 | 6 / 6 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 20 (1.5) | 15 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 9 (0.7) | 7 (0.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 5-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | — |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:16. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.10 – 1.16 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Raith Rovers win | 34.1% |
| Draw | 28.7% |
| Dunfermline win | 37.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 62.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Both teams to score | 45.7% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 12:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Raith Rovers
WWDLW
1.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Dunfermline
DDWWW
1.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Raith Rovers wins 0 draws 4 Dunfermline wins last 6 meetings
- Dunfermline1 - 0Raith Rovers Championship
- Dunfermline3 - 0Raith Rovers Championship
- Raith Rovers1 - 2Dunfermline Championship
- Dunfermline2 - 0Raith Rovers Championship
- Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline Championship
- Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:16. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
