Obolon’-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
November 6, 2026 at 12:00 · Obolon Arena
Upcoming
Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh prediction and betting tip for this Ukraine Premier League match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 12:00 at Obolon Arena. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.22), 89% confidence.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh Preview
Obolon'-Brovar host Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine Premier League (matchday 12) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 WAT at Obolon Arena in Kyiv.
Obolon'-Brovar are 14th in the table with 7 points from 10 games (1-4-5), while Livyi Bereh sit 13th on 8 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Obolon'-Brovar have won 1 of 1; Livyi Bereh have won 1 of 5 on the road.
Obolon'-Brovar have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-L-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Livyi Bereh have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-D), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Obolon'-Brovar have won 2, Livyi Bereh 1, with 3 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Livyi Bereh 2-2 Obolon'-Brovar.
Obolon'-Brovar average 0.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Livyi Bereh average 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Livyi Bereh the favourites: Obolon'-Brovar 3.20, draw 3.10, Livyi Bereh 2.15 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.25 and under at 1.62. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
Season stats
| Obolon'-Brovar | Livyi Bereh | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 10 | 9 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 4 / 5 | 1 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 4 (0.4) | 6 (0.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 17 (1.7) | 8 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 07:19. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.78 – 1.05 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 79/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar win | 26.5% |
| Draw | 32.1% |
| Livyi Bereh win | 41.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 58.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 73.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Both teams to score | 35.2% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 12:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 1.9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Obolon'-Brovar
LDWLL
0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Livyi Bereh
LWLLD
0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Obolon'-Brovar wins 3 draws 1 Livyi Bereh wins last 6 meetings
- Livyi Bereh2 - 2Obolon'-Brovar Friendlies Clubs
- Obolon'-Brovar1 - 0Livyi Bereh Premier League
- Livyi Bereh1 - 1Obolon'-Brovar Premier League
- Livyi Bereh1 - 1Obolon'-Brovar Premier League
- Obolon'-Brovar1 - 0Livyi Bereh Premier League
- Obolon'-Brovar0 - 2Livyi Bereh Friendlies Clubs
Statistics: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
