NAC Breda vs Emmen
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda
Emmen
November 14, 2026 at 16:30 · Rat Verlegh Stadion
Upcoming
NAC Breda vs Emmen prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off November 14, 2026 at 16:30 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals, 85% confidence.
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.26 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 91/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda win | 57.8% | 60.1% | 1.53 | -11.6% |
| Draw | 20.5% | 22.4% | 4.10 | -16.1% |
| Emmen win | 21.7% | 17.5% | 5.25 | +14.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 78.3% | 82.5% | 1.17 | -8.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 42.2% | 39.9% | 2.38 | +0.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% | 84.3% | 1.12 | -4.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% | 63.7% | 1.48 | -1.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.7% | 36.3% | 2.60 | -12.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55.6% | 55.7% | 1.67 | -7.2% |
| Both teams to score | 63.3% | 60.9% | 1.53 | -3.1% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 Nov 2026, 00:43, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — Their last 6 meetings averaged 3.2 goals and recent form points to 2.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
NAC Breda
WWDWD
1.2 scored · 0.2 conceded per game
Emmen
WWWLL
1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 NAC Breda wins 1 draws 3 Emmen wins last 6 meetings
- Emmen0 - 3NAC Breda Eredivisie
- NAC Breda1 - 1Emmen Eredivisie
- Emmen2 - 3NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
- NAC Breda1 - 3Emmen Eerste Divisie
- Emmen2 - 0NAC Breda Eredivisie
- NAC Breda1 - 2Emmen Eredivisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 Nov 2026, 00:43. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
