Llaneros vs Chico
Colombia Primera A
Llaneros
Chico
November 12, 2026 at 22:00 · Estadio Bello Horizonte
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Llaneros vs Chico prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 12, 2026 at 22:00 at Estadio Bello Horizonte. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.12), 82% confidence.
Llaneros vs Chico Preview
Llaneros host Chico in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 19) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 22:00 WAT at Estadio Bello Horizonte in Villavicencio.
Llaneros are 12th in the table with 23 points from 18 games (7-2-9), while Chico sit 15th on 19 points. Llaneros have a 4-point advantage. At home Llaneros have won 5 of 9; Chico have won 0 of 8 on the road.
Llaneros have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-L-W-W), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Chico have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-L-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Llaneros have won 3, Chico 2, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Chico 0-1 Llaneros.
Llaneros average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 10 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Chico average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 20 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Llaneros the favourites: Llaneros 1.57, draw 3.80, Chico 6.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Llaneros or draw (1X). The model gives Llaneros or a draw a 90% chance, Llaneros have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 3 places above Chico.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 19 |
Season stats
| Llaneros | Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 37 | 37 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 12 / 14 | 10 / 6 / 21 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 38 (1.0) | 30 (0.8) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 44 (1.2) | 61 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 10 | 20 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 5-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-1-4-1 | 4-4-2 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:43. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.54 – 0.74 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 94/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros win | 56.2% | 59.7% | 1.57 | -11.7% |
| Draw | 25.7% | 24.7% | 3.80 | -2.3% |
| Chico win | 18.1% | 15.6% | 6.00 | +8.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 81.9% | 84.4% | 1.12 | -8.2% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 43.8% | 40.3% | 2.30 | +0.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.5% | 73.2% | 1.28 | -14.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.9% | 48.7% | 1.95 | -22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.1% | 51.3% | 1.85 | +11.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.3% | 72.3% | 1.30 | +4.4% |
| Both teams to score | 41.2% | 48.5% | 1.91 | -21.3% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 11 Nov 2026, 04:30, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Llaneros or draw (1X) — The model gives Llaneros or a draw a 90% chance, Llaneros have won 3 of their last 5 and they sit 12th, 3 places above Chico.
Form (last 5)
Llaneros
WLLWW
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Chico
LWDLW
0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Llaneros wins 1 draws 2 Chico wins last 6 meetings
- Chico0 - 1Llaneros Copa Colombia
- Chico3 - 0Llaneros Primera A
- Llaneros2 - 1Chico Primera A
- Chico2 - 2Llaneros Primera A
- Chico3 - 0Llaneros Primera B
- Llaneros1 - 0Chico Primera B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 Nov 2026, 00:42. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
