Lillestrom vs Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
Lillestrom
Aalesund
November 8, 2026 at 17:00 · Åråsen Stadion
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Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction and betting tip for this Norway Eliteserien match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 17:00 at Åråsen Stadion. Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes (odds 1.40), 68% confidence.
Lillestrom vs Aalesund Preview
Lillestrom host Aalesund in the Norway Eliteserien (matchday 26) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 WAT at Åråsen Stadion in Lillestrom. Stian Rovig Sletner is the referee.
Lillestrom are 5th in the table with 42 points from 25 games (13-3-9), while Aalesund sit 14th on 24 points. Lillestrom have a 18-point advantage. At home Lillestrom have won 6 of 12; Aalesund have won 3 of 12 on the road.
Lillestrom have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Aalesund have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-L-L), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Lillestrom have won 3, Aalesund 1, with 2 draws and an average of 4.2 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2026, finished Aalesund 1-3 Lillestrom.
Lillestrom average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 8 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1. Aalesund average 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Vá leads Lillestrom's scoring with 8 goals and 5 assists; M. Christensen leads Aalesund's scoring with 11 goals and 5 assists.
Bookmakers make Lillestrom the favourites: Lillestrom 1.80, draw 4.20, Aalesund 3.80 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36 and under at 3.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.40, no 2.75.
Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.40.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
Season stats
| Lillestrom | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 25 | 25 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 13 / 3 / 9 | 5 / 9 / 11 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 36 (1.4) | 43 (1.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 33 (1.3) | 57 (2.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-1-4-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- Vá 8 goals · 5 assists
- F. Gulbrandsen 7 goals · 1 assist
- M. Christensen 11 goals · 5 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:18. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.18 – 1.44 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Lillestrom win | 54.4% |
| Draw | 20.5% |
| Aalesund win | 25.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 74.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 45.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50.9% |
| Both teams to score | 67.8% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes — Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.40.
Form (last 5)
Lillestrom
LDWWW
1.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Aalesund
WLWLL
2.4 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Lillestrom wins 2 draws 1 Aalesund wins last 6 meetings
- Aalesund1 - 3Lillestrom Eliteserien
- Lillestrom5 - 1Aalesund 1. Division
- Aalesund2 - 2Lillestrom 1. Division
- Aalesund1 - 1Lillestrom Eliteserien
- Lillestrom5 - 1Aalesund Eliteserien
- Aalesund2 - 1Lillestrom Eliteserien
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:17. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
