Chico vs Internacional de Bogota
Colombia Primera A
Chico
Internacional de Bogota
November 7, 2026 at 00:00 · Estadio La Independencia
Won
Chico vs Internacional de Bogota prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio La Independencia. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.25), 85% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (1-1). The tip won.
Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota: Match Report
Chico beat Internacional de Bogota 2-1 at Estadio La Independencia in the Colombia Primera A on Saturday, coming from behind. It was 1-1 at the break.
An own goal by C. Blanco Betancur put Internacional de Bogota ahead on 33 minutes. J. Diaz levelled for Chico on 44 minutes from the penalty spot. J. Diaz won it for Chico on 59 minutes from the penalty spot.
Chico had 53% of the ball and 10 shots (4 on target) to Internacional de Bogota's 10 (4). Expected goals finished Chico 2.20, Internacional de Bogota 0.76, so Chico deserved the win.
Referee Carlos Ortega showed 1 yellow card.
Our tip, Under 3.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 33' C. Blanco Betancur Internacional de Bogota · Own Goal
- 44' J. Diaz Chico · Penalty
- 49' M. Rodas Internacional de Bogota · Yellow Card
- 59' J. Diaz Chico · Penalty
- 81' D. Polanco Chico · Yellow Card
- 81' D. A. Ramirez Raigosa Chico · Yellow Card
- 85' J. Castro Internacional de Bogota · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Chico hosted Internacional de Bogota in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 WAT at Estadio La Independencia in Tunja. Carlos Ortega was the referee.
Chico are 17th in the table with 16 points from 17 games (4-4-9), while Internacional de Bogota sit 12th on 20 points. Internacional de Bogota have a 4-point advantage. At home Chico have won 4 of 9; Internacional de Bogota have won 0 of 8 on the road.
Chico have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-D-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Internacional de Bogota have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-L-W), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Chico have won 2, Internacional de Bogota 2, with 2 draws and an average of 1.7 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Internacional de Bogota 4-0 Chico.
Chico average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 20 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Internacional de Bogota average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: F. Sanguinetti leads Internacional de Bogota's scoring with 10 goals and 7 assists.
Line-ups: Chico lined up in a 4-4-2, Internacional de Bogota in a 3-4-1-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Internacional de Bogota the favourites: Chico 2.80, draw 3.20, Internacional de Bogota 2.55 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.15 and under at 1.67. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction was Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 2.6 goals a game.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 16 |
Season stats
| Chico | Internacional de Bogota | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 36 | 38 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 9 / 6 / 21 | 11 / 15 / 12 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 28 (0.8) | 49 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 60 (1.7) | 58 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 20 | 11 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- F. Sanguinetti 10 goals · 7 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
David Agudelo, Delio Ramírez, Daniel Polanco, Jefferson Mena, Cristian Blanco, Estiven Sarria, Jesús Cárdenas, Juan Diaz, Santiago Mera, Alejandro Maya, Jacobo Pimentel
Wuilker Faríñez, Carlos Vivas, Mateo Rodas, Agustín Irazoque, Joan Castro, Ruben Manjarres, Larry Vásquez, Miguel Pernia, Johan Caballero, Cristián Dájome, Fabricio Sanguinetti
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 02:15. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.12 – 0.92 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Chico win | 40.1% |
| Draw | 30.3% |
| Internacional de Bogota win | 29.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 70.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 59.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85.0% |
| Both teams to score | 40.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 Nov 2026, 23:28, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.7 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 1.7 goals and recent form points to 2.6 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Chico
LLWDL
0.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Internacional de Bogota
DDWLW
1.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Chico wins 2 draws 2 Internacional de Bogota wins last 6 meetings
- Internacional de Bogota4 - 0Chico Primera A
- Chico0 - 0Internacional de Bogota Primera A
- Internacional de Bogota0 - 1Chico Primera A
- Chico1 - 0Internacional de Bogota Primera A
- Internacional de Bogota4 - 0Chico Primera A
- Internacional de Bogota0 - 0Chico Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 Nov 2026, 22:17. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
