FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Preview & Stats

MEWA Arena, Mainz Referee: Florian Badstubner

Our tip Over 1.5

Odds 1.16

Our verdict

Over 1.5 @ 1.16

League games involving FSV Mainz 05 average 4.0 goals.
League games involving Werder Bremen average 4.0 goals.
3 of the last 5 meetings would have landed Over 1.5.
The statistical goal model also points to goals.

Our prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen is Over 1.5 at odds of 1.16.

Match preview

FSV Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen meet in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7), kicking off on Saturday 24 October at 14:30 at MEWA Arena, Mainz.

Over their last 5 league games, FSV Mainz 05 won 3, drew 0 and lost 2, while Werder Bremen won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

In the league this season FSV Mainz 05 scored 2.3 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average; Werder Bremen scored 2.0 and conceded 2.0.

Head to head: in their last 5 meetings FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Werder Bremen won 3 and 1 ended level, averaging 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

The statistical model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 10% chance of winning, 45% for a draw and 45% for Werder Bremen.

Win probability

FSV Mainz 05 10% Draw 45% Werder Bremen 45%

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen

50%

Form

50%

56%

Attack

44%

Defence

56%

38%

Goal model

62%

29%

Head to head

71%

44%

Goals

56%

44%

Overall

57%

Form and goals (league)

	FSV Mainz 05	Werder Bremen
Last 5	WLWLW	WDWDD
Games played	6	6
Goals scored per game	2.3	2.0
Goals conceded per game	1.7	2.0
Clean sheets	3	0
Failed to score	1	0

Head to head

1FSV Mainz 05 1Draws 3Werder Bremen

15 Mar 2026 Werder Bremen 0 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
1 Nov 2025 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Werder Bremen
31 Jan 2025 Werder Bremen 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05
15 Sep 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 Werder Bremen
3 Feb 2024 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 Werder Bremen

See more predictions →

Statistics: API-Football. Odds and probabilities can change before kick-off. 18+ Please gamble responsibly.