Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Preview & Stats

Villa Park, Birmingham Referee: Peter Bankes

Our tip Over 1.5

Odds 1.14

Our verdict

Over 1.5 @ 1.14

League games involving Aston Villa average 2.6 goals.
League games involving Manchester City average 3.7 goals.
4 of the last 5 meetings would have landed Over 1.5.

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Manchester City is Over 1.5 at odds of 1.14.

Match preview

Aston Villa and Manchester City meet in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8), kicking off on Saturday 24 October at 12:30 at Villa Park, Birmingham.

Over their last 5 league games, Aston Villa won 2, drew 2 and lost 1, while Manchester City won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

In the league this season Aston Villa scored 1.0 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average; Manchester City scored 2.7 and conceded 1.0.

Head to head: in their last 5 meetings Aston Villa won 3, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level, averaging 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

The statistical model gives Aston Villa a 10% chance of winning, 45% for a draw and 45% for Manchester City.

Win probability

Aston Villa 10% Draw 45% Manchester City 45%

Team comparison

Aston VillaManchester City

35%

Form

65%

35%

Attack

65%

45%

Defence

55%

Goal model

94%

60%

Head to head

40%

47%

Goals

53%

38%

Overall

62%

Form and goals (league)

	Aston Villa	Manchester City
Last 5	DLWDW	WWWWW
Games played	7	7
Goals scored per game	1.0	2.7
Goals conceded per game	1.6	1.0
Clean sheets	2	3
Failed to score	3	0

Head to head

3Aston Villa 0Draws 2Manchester City

24 May 2026 Manchester City 1 - 2 Aston Villa
26 Oct 2025 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Manchester City
22 Apr 2025 Manchester City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
21 Dec 2024 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester City
3 Apr 2024 Manchester City 4 - 1 Aston Villa

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Statistics: API-Football. Odds and probabilities can change before kick-off. 18+ Please gamble responsibly.